BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 124 Overall: (0-4) Overall Strength = 83.66
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (0-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (0-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-27-2026 Home L 81.88 37 42 NA 20 (3-1) Louisiana Christian -3.55 12.90 -1.45
2 09-05-2026 Away L 80.64 6 80 1A 73 (1-2) Louisiana Tech -4.79 * -35.85 -69.21
3 09-12-2026 Away L * * 91.80 14 38 1B 73 (1-3) East Texas A&M 6.37 * -29.26 -30.37
4 09-19-2026 Away L * 87.41 20 49 1B 69 (2-2) Weber St 1.98 * -26.23 -30.98
5 09/26/2026 Home * * 1B 26 (2-2) SE Louisiana -39.01
6 10/03/2026 Away * * 1B 27 (2-1) Lamar -44.62
7 10/17/2026 Home * * 1B 37 (1-3) McNeese St -35.69
8 10/24/2026 Home * * 1B 65 (2-2) Nicholls St -28.67
9 10/31/2026 Away * * 1B 45 (2-1) Incarnate Word -39.88
10 11/07/2026 Home * * 1B 51 (2-2) Texas-Rio Grande Val -32.25
11 11/14/2026 Home * * 1B 32 (2-2) Houston Christian -37.64
12 11/19/2026 Away * * 1B 9 (4-0) Stephen F. Austin -61.17
Averages 85.43 19.2 52.2
Best game: 91.80 = 24 point loss to East Texas A&M
Worst game: 80.64 = 74 point loss to Louisiana Tech
Team stdev: 5.17