BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 120 Overall: (0-7) Overall Strength = 94.20
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (0-4) | District: 1B-01 Record: (0-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-27-2026 Home L 79.72 37 42 NA 21 (7-1) Louisiana Christian -14.34 12.90 9.34
2 09-05-2026 Away L 81.93 6 80 1A 68 (4-2) Louisiana Tech -12.13 * -35.85 -61.87
3 09-12-2026 Away L * * 93.86 14 38 1B 58 (2-5) East Texas A&M -0.20 -29.26 -23.80
4 09-19-2026 Away L * 97.02 20 49 1B 34 (5-3) Weber St 2.96 * -26.23 -31.96
5 09-26-2026 Home L * * 90.07 21 52 1B 36 (4-3) SE Louisiana -3.99 -19.36 -27.01
6 10-03-2026 Away L * * 102.64 14 42 1B 17 (5-2) Lamar 8.58 * -44.60 -36.58
7 10-17-2026 Home L * * 113.18 21 24 1B 63 (3-4) McNeese St 19.12 -32.39 -22.12
8 10/24/2026 Home * * 1B 84 (2-5) Nicholls St -13.09
9 10/31/2026 Away * * 1B 12 (3-4) Incarnate Word -41.35
10 11/07/2026 Home * * 1B 45 (3-4) Texas-Rio Grande Val -24.30
11 11/14/2026 Home * * 1B 41 (4-3) Houston Christian -24.91
12 11/19/2026 Away * * 1B 7 (7-0) Stephen F. Austin -45.34
Averages 94.06 19.0 46.7
Best game: 113.18 = 3 point loss to McNeese St
Worst game: 79.72 = 5 point loss to Louisiana Christian
Team stdev: 11.67